Scottish economy could lose £257m a year under Chancellor’s planned tax credit cuts, says UNISON

Date: Tue 24 November 2015

Local economies across Scotland could be hit to the tune of around £257m a year if the Chancellor confirms tomorrow (Wednesday), in the spending review, that he is to continue with cuts to tax credits announced in the summer, says UNISON.

More than 197,000 working families with children across Scotland who receive tax credits could between them lose around £257m, according to UNISON research. This average loss per tax credit household of £1,300 could see the region’s businesses and high streets suffer as families have much less money to spend locally.

Although last month’s vote in the House of Lords forced George Osborne to look again at his tax credit plans, the issue has certainly not gone away, says UNISON. As a result more than 2.7m low-income working families across the UK are nervously awaiting today’s autumn statement.

UNISON General Secretary Dave Prentis
said: “The Lords might have forced a reluctant Chancellor to think again, but we’re not out of the woods yet. Tax credit cuts have not gone away, far from it. Even if the Chancellor announces a pause to their introduction today, it will only be delaying untold financial misery for working families.

“Tax credits are not a luxury, but are quite simply a lifeline for hardworking Scottish families. Taking away a large proportion of the tax credits they rely upon will turn their already precarious finances upside down.

“Thousands of low income families across Scotland will be hoping that the Chancellor has good news for them today. They will want to hear that he’s decided against grabbing billions back in tax credits from working parents who are trying to provide a decent start in life for their children.”

Notes to editors:

Region/Nation 

Regional reduction in household spending by working families with children due to cuts in tax credits £m

London

464.23

North West

439.53

South East

394.16

West Midlands

349.57

Yorkshire and Humberside

332.02

Eastern

299.78

South West

279.63

East Midlands

268.58

Scotland

257.01

Cymru/Wales

175.11

Northern

151.58

Northern Ireland

118.43

Total

3, 529.63

Source: House of Commons Briefing Paper CBP7300; 15 October 2015; Tax Credit Changes from April 2016

Region/nation

Number of working families with children claiming tax credits

Number of children in working families receiving tax credits

Wales

134,700

250,600

Eastern

230,600

440,100

East Midlands

206,600

391,200

London

357,100

704,800

Northern

116,600

211,200

Northern Ireland

91,100

175,400

North West

338,100

636,700

Scotland

197,700

347,400

South East

303,200

575,500

South West

215,100

406,700

West Midlands

268900

524,300

Yorkshire and the Humber

255,400

492,900

Total 

2,715,100

5,156,800

Source: HMRC child and working tax credit statistics provisional awards 2015

Unless the Chancellor announces otherwise in today’s spending review, next April the point at which tax credits start to be reduced (the threshold) will be cut from £6,420 to £3,850, and the rate at which they will be reduced (the taper) will be increased from 41p for every £1 earned above the threshold to 48p.

With many UNISON members – for example, teaching assistants, hospital cleaners, home care workers, healthcare assistants, nurses, PCSOs and street cleaners – set to be affected by the changes, the union has developed an online calculator so people can work out how the tax credit changes are likely to affect them and their families.

UNISON has also produced a map showing the numbers of families that will be affected across the UK. By clicking on each constituency people can see whether their local MP voted for or against the cuts to tax credits.
UNISON General Secretary Dave Prentis is available for interview on tax credits or on other aspects of the spending review.

UNISON media contact:

Danny Phillips T: 0141 342 2877 M: 07944 664110 E: d.phillips@unison.co.uk